I am getting something similar (NSUnderlyingError looks different) since updating the iPhone 14 Pro from iOS 16.0 to iOS 16.0.1 and as well on iOS 16.1 shooting raw with the utra wide camera (builtInUltraWideCamera). ProRAW works.
Optional(Error Domain=AVFoundationErrorDomain Code=-11800 "The operation could not be completed" UserInfo={NSUnderlyingError=0x283cb8840 {Error Domain=NSOSStatusErrorDomain Code=-16415 "(null)"}, NSLocalizedFailureReason=An unknown error occurred (-16415), AVErrorRecordingFailureDomainKey=4, NSLocalizedDescription=The operation could not be completed})