Thanks for the tip, and I think you're onto something! I was trying to be fully explicit, but taking it out seems to have solved the problem. It would have been nice to get a more meaningful error, but I'll take a fix when I can get it!
dlewandaDK
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Unfortunately, not. The command I'm trying is:
xcodebuild archive -project ProjectName.xcodeproj -scheme SchemeName -sdk iphoneos -configuration release -allowProvisioningUpdates -destination 'generic/platform=iOS' -archivePath "$ARCHIVE_DIR/$ARCHIVE_NAME".
Does anything else jump out at you about that?